Franklin County Emergency Management Alert
04/16/21 9:45 AM
A marginal risk for severe weather is forecast for Today and Saturday across the region. The marginal risk for today is mainly along coastal regions in the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend from this afternoon through the overnight hours. The main threats for these storms will be damaging wind gusts, and isolated large hail. For Saturday, the risk expands northward into the southern row of counties in SE Alabama and SW Georgia along the Florida State line. These storms are expected to have the potential to produce damaging wind gusts, isolated large hail, and a brief tornado or two.
A quick approaching upper level system will move through the region later this afternoon and through the overnight hours that will produce a few strong to severe storms along coastal regions in the Panhandle and Big Bend. These storms will have the potential to produce strong gusty winds and isolated large hail.
Another upper level system will be moving through the region; however, instability is expected to push farther north into the region. This will be due to a warm front that is expected to lift north into southern Georgia and Alabama. Strong to severe storms are expected to track along this warm front, and have the potential to produce damaging wind gusts, isolated large hail, and a brief tornado or two. On top of the severe storm threat, there is also a marginal risk for excessive rainfall for areas predominantly west of the Flint River. Overall on Saturday, widespread rainfall totals of around 1-2 inches is expected, with locally heavier amounts of 2-3 inches possible.
Looking past Saturday, the front associated with the system on Saturday is expected to stall just south of the region along the northern Peninsula of Florida. This will provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms through mid-week. At this time around 4-5 inches is expected across much of the Big Bend from Today through Wednesday, with the extreme southern portions of the Big Bend potentially seeing 5-7 inches of rainfall. Portions of the southern row of Georgia counties are also expected to see significant rainfall totals of around 2-3 inches during this time frame.